Detailed Technical Analysis

The primary recommendation for Sunday involves Detroit Pistons center Tobias Harris, who is projected to go over his points plus rebounds total of 23.5 (-141). Harris has proven resilient throughout this series, managing an ankle injury that cropped up before Game 6 and enduring poor shooting in the same contest. Despite connecting on just seven of 20 shots from the field Friday night, Harris furnished a 22-point, 10-rebound double-double to help Detroit overcome a significant halftime deficit.

Harris’ series average stands at 28.2 points plus rebounds across 35.2 minutes per game. While his shooting efficiency sits at 42.7% in the six games against Orlando, he has averaged a robust 17.2 field-goal attempts per game and posted a 49.0% success rate from the field in the three games prior to Friday. Crucially, Harris is pulling in 58.5% of his 13.7 rebounding chances per contest in the series. He has moved to an 8-2 record versus this prop against Orlando since the start of the regular season. With a day of rest and proven capability to succeed while managing the ankle issue, Harris offers a solid floor for the Over.

The second recommendation targets Orlando Magic forward Paolo Banchero, who is listed at over points plus rebounds 31.5 (-112). The Magic were embarrassed in front of their home crowd Friday, forsaking a 62-38 lead less than a minute into the third quarter. Banchero’s struggles were significant, as he went an unfathomable 4-for-20 from the field, including 0-for-9 from behind the arc. However, Banchero had come into the night shooting 42.9%, including an impressive 38.5% from three-point range, along with 34.6 points plus rebounds across 38.0 minutes per contest prior to Friday’s collapse.

Banchero will take the floor without Franz Wagner (calf), who is out for Orlando. Banchero boasts a team-high 29.2% usage rate since the start of the regular season with Wagner off the floor, and he has gone 3-3 to this prop so far in the series. He was much more successful during the regular season against Detroit, when he went 3-0 to the 31.5 number by producing points plus rebounds totals of 35, 35, and 36. Additionally, Banchero carries a solid 57.4% conversion rate on his 15.7 rebounding opportunities per game. In a Game 7 where he is bound to be determined to make for his Game 6 disappearing act, the Over remains in play.

The third recommendation involves Toronto Raptors forward Scottie Barnes, who is projected to go over points plus rebounds plus assists 36.5 (-113). Barnes has been outstanding over the first six games of the series as the Raptors have given the Cavaliers all they can handle. The versatile forward is already averaging 38.9 points plus rebounds plus assists across 39.3 minutes per game over the first six contests against Cleveland, and he went 4-0 to the 35.5 number in Games 3-6.

Barnes may once again take the floor Sunday without Brandon Ingram (heel), and it is worth noting Barnes went off for a massive 46 points plus rebounds plus assists with 11-for-21 shooting from the field in Game 6 with Ingram sidelined. Barnes also posted 46 and 35 points plus rebounds plus assists totals against the Cavs in the final two regular-season meetings between the teams, so he has a fairly extended track record of success versus Cleveland when it comes to overcoming or being right on the cusp of this number. The Cavaliers rank No. 26 in offensive efficiency rating allowed to power forwards since the start of the regular season (28.4), further making the case for Barnes’ production.

Market Impact & Sentiment

Beyond individual player props, the broader market sentiment for Sunday’s slate is heavily influenced by the SportsLine Projection Model. For the Pistons-Magic matchup, the model favors Detroit to win and advance, with the Pistons covering the spread in 65% of simulations. The over/under for total points scored is set at 202.5. The model loves the Over on this total, which hits in nearly 70% of simulations. These teams have gone Over 210.5 points in five of the first six games of this series.

For the Raptors-Cavaliers Game 7, the model’s top play is on the total of 210.5 points. The model loves the Over, which hits in nearly 70% of simulations. These teams have gone Over 210.5 points in five of the first six games of this series. Additionally, the model projects Donovan Mitchell to score over 25.5 points, with Mitchell projected to score 28.4 points in Game 7.

The betting landscape for Sunday also features a FanDuel promo code for new-user offers before placing any NBA Playoffs bets. The SportsLine Projection Model has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons and entered the second full week of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling